
A recent report by Oliver Wyman indicates that the commercial aviation fleet in the Middle East is set to expand significantly, with an annual growth rate of 5.1% projected from 2025 to 2035.
This surge outpaces the global average of 2.8% for the same period. By 2035, the region's fleet is expected to reach around 2,557 aircraft, increasing its share of the global commercial fleet from 5.3% to 6.7% as the total global fleet is anticipated to exceed 38,000 aircraft.
The expansion is primarily driven by heightened demand for short-haul flights, especially in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which together dominate over 60% of the regional market.
Saudi Arabia is enhancing its domestic travel, which makes up 45% of its total seat capacity, while the UAE focuses on boosting international travel. This growth aligns with Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030, aimed at diversifying its economy and attracting 150 million tourists annually by that year.
The report also notes a shift towards narrow-body aircraft, which are expected to rise from 43% to 47% of the total fleet over the next decade due to their fuel efficiency. Although the number of wide-body aircraft will also increase, it will do so at a slower rate, reaching 1,307 by 2035.
In addition to fleet growth, maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) spending in the region is projected to grow from $16 billion in 2025 to $20 billion by 2035, reflecting the increasing number of aircraft.
This trend highlights the Middle East's strategic efforts to enhance its aviation sector, which is essential for achieving broader economic goals and improving regional connectivity.
Overall, the Middle East's commercial aviation market is on a solid growth path, driven by strong demand from both full-service and low-cost airlines, solidifying the region's position as a significant player in the global aviation industry.