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Brazilian aerospace giant Embraer has set an ambitious target to deliver 100 commercial aircraft annually by 2028, a milestone the company last reached in 2017, CEO Francisco Gomes Neto told Reuters. While the manufacturer has steadily increased deliveries since 2021 as part of its recovery from the pandemic-induced aviation crisis, persistent supply chain issues are expected to delay hitting the 100-unit mark until 2028.
The company forecasts delivering between 77 and 85 commercial jets in 2025, up from 73 in 2024, reflecting a roughly 10% year-on-year increase. Gomes Neto emphasized that 2026 will remain a challenging year production-wise due to ongoing bottlenecks, but he projects strong growth resuming in 2027, with 2028 marking the return to triple-digit deliveries.
Embraer continues to grapple with supply disruptions, including delays in fuselage parts sourced from Europe and GE Aerospace engines for its first-generation E1 jets. The situation has improved compared to last year’s engine supply delays for the next-generation E2 jets, yet the supply chain remains vulnerable.
Despite these obstacles, Embraer’s backlog of orders is solid and production slots are nearly fully booked through 2026 and 2027, extending partially into 2028. The recent firm order of 50 E195-E2 jets from U.S.-based low-cost carrier Avelo Airlines, marking Embraer's first U.S. deal for E2 jets, highlights robust demand. The company also secured orders earlier in 2025 from Japan’s ANA, Scandinavian Airlines SAS, and U.S. regional carrier SkyWest for a mix of E2 and E1 models.
Looking ahead, Gomes Neto noted that further E2 orders may be announced before year-end as multiple sales campaigns proceed, though new sales for the E1 fleet—which primarily serves the U.S. market—are not expected in 2025.
Regarding manufacturing strategy, Embraer currently assembles both E1 and E2 aircraft at its Sao Jose dos Campos plant in Brazil. Despite the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Brazilian-built aircraft, the company is not planning to establish a U.S. assembly line for E2 jets at this stage. Any consideration for a second assembly facility closer to major buyers would depend on a significant surge in orders, which is not yet evident.
“We prefer to present Embraer’s overall business case,” Gomes Neto explained, highlighting plans to purchase $21 billion from U.S. suppliers over the next five years while exporting $13 billion. He cautioned that establishing a new line would require substantial investment and risk increasing costs, potentially making the aircraft less competitive.
Embraer also maintains assembly lines for some executive jets in Florida and has proposed a $500 million U.S. production line for its C-390 military cargo aircraft, contingent on U.S. government procurement decisions.
Analysts view Embraer’s delivery target as ambitious but achievable if supply chain pressures ease and demand continues to grow, especially for regional jets that address evolving air travel needs. The company’s resilience in navigating post-pandemic recovery and maintaining a robust order book underscores its position as the world’s third-largest commercial aircraft manufacturer.